Value bet: Treaty United to win @ 3.75 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKerry to win ✓47% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11
Kerry vs Treaty United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kerry welcome Treaty United to Mounthawk Park for a First Division fixture on Friday 28 August (19:45 WAT).
Current form
Kerry, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with UCD, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Treaty United, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cork City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kerry, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Treaty United.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Jul 2026) it ended Treaty United 2–1 Kerry. The last 3 head-to-heads: Kerry 0 wins, Treaty United 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kerry 1.4 xG, Treaty United 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kerry 47%, draw 22%, Treaty United 31%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Treaty United to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kerry 1–1 Treaty United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kerry47%fair 2.11 · @1.96
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
Treaty United31%fair 3.23 · @3.75
2.54Expected goals
1.44Kerry xG
1.09Treaty United xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Kerry 1.4 – 1.1 Treaty United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kerry vs Treaty United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Kerry vs Treaty United?
On our numbers Kerry have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Treaty United 31%.
How many goals will there be in Kerry vs Treaty United?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kerry vs Treaty United?
Our predicted score is Kerry 1–1 Treaty United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kerry vs Treaty United?
Kerry vs Treaty United (First Division) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
