UCD vs Finn Harps: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 28 August the First Division brings UCD against Finn Harps at UCD Bowl. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, UCD are 2nd, among the top four, on 56 points after 36 matches; Finn Harps are 10th (in the drop zone) with 28. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
UCD, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kerry, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Finn Harps, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cobh Ramblers, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours UCD, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for Finn Harps.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Jun 2026) it ended Finn Harps 0–5 UCD. The last 3 head-to-heads: UCD 2 wins, Finn Harps 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UCD 2.3 xG, Finn Harps 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UCD 69%, draw 19%, Finn Harps 12%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was UCD to win (69%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCD 2–0 Finn Harps. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UCD69%fair 1.46 · @1.26
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @5.90
Finn Harps12%fair 8.18 · @9.30
3.17Expected goals
2.29UCD xG
0.88Finn Harps xG
57%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–18%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: UCD 2.3 – 0.9 Finn Harps expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is UCD to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win UCD vs Finn Harps?
On our numbers UCD have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Finn Harps 12%.
How many goals will there be in UCD vs Finn Harps?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCD vs Finn Harps?
Our predicted score is UCD 2–0 Finn Harps, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is UCD vs Finn Harps?
UCD vs Finn Harps (First Division) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at UCD Bowl.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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