Finn Harps 14%Draw 24%Athlone Town 62%Expected goals 0.79 – 1.90
86%
Betarazi pick
Athlone Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Athlone Town to win @ 1.74 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAthlone Town to win ✓62% · @1.74
Double chanceAthlone Town or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Finn Harps vs Athlone Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 4 September: Finn Harps v Athlone Town in the First Division, played at Finn Park. In the table, Finn Harps are 10th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 36 matches; Athlone Town are 7th (lower half) with 48. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Finn Harps, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 4–5 defeat to UCD, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.8 conceded per game.
Athlone Town, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bray Wanderers, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Athlone Town, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.0 for Finn Harps.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Jun 2026) it ended Athlone Town 1–1 Finn Harps. The last 3 head-to-heads: Finn Harps 0 wins, Athlone Town 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Finn Harps 0.8 xG, Athlone Town 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Finn Harps 14%, draw 24%, Athlone Town 62%.
Lower-risk option: Athlone Town or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Athlone Town to win @1.74 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Athlone Town or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Finn Harps 0–1 Athlone Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Finn Harps14%fair 7.40 · @4.35
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.75
Athlone Town62%fair 1.61 · @1.74
2.69Expected goals
0.79Finn Harps xG
1.90Athlone Town xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Finn Harps 0.8 – 1.9 Athlone Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?
Our pick is Athlone Town or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?
On our numbers Finn Harps have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Athlone Town 62%.
How many goals will there be in Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?
Our predicted score is Finn Harps 0–1 Athlone Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?
Finn Harps vs Athlone Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Finn Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
