Value bet: Treaty United to win @ 2.60 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTreaty United to win ✗42% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.71
Treaty United vs Wexford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Treaty United welcome Wexford to Markets Field for a First Division fixture on Friday 4 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Treaty United are 9th, in the drop zone, on 42 points after 36 matches; Wexford are 8th (in the drop zone) with 42. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Treaty United, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Kerry, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Wexford, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cork City, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Jun 2026) it ended Wexford 0–0 Treaty United. The last 3 head-to-heads: Treaty United 1 win, Wexford 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Treaty United 1.4 xG, Wexford 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Treaty United 42%, draw 22%, Wexford 36%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Treaty United to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Treaty United 1–1 Wexford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Treaty United42%fair 2.41 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.35
Wexford36%fair 2.78 · @2.60
2.63Expected goals
1.37Treaty United xG
1.25Wexford xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Treaty United 1.4 – 1.3 Wexford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Treaty United vs Wexford?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Treaty United vs Wexford?
On our numbers Treaty United have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wexford 36%.
How many goals will there be in Treaty United vs Wexford?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Treaty United vs Wexford?
Our predicted score is Treaty United 1–1 Wexford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Treaty United vs Wexford?
Treaty United vs Wexford (First Division) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Markets Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
