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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kerry v Bray Wanderers: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Mounthawk Park

Kerry

WWDLL
0–1
FT
Kerry 38%Draw 21%Bray Wanderers 41% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.50
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.55Odds
1

Value bet: Kerry to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBray Wanderers to win ✓41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.68

Kerry vs Bray Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Friday 11 September: Kerry v Bray Wanderers in the First Division, played at Mounthawk Park.

Current form

Kerry, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Longford Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Bray Wanderers, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cork City, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kerry, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Bray Wanderers.

Head to head

When they last met (31 Jul 2026) it ended Bray Wanderers 0–4 Kerry. The last 3 head-to-heads: Kerry 1 win, Bray Wanderers 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kerry 1.4 xG, Bray Wanderers 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kerry 38%, draw 21%, Bray Wanderers 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.
  • Price worth noting: Kerry to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kerry 1–1 Bray Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kerry38%fair 2.64 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Bray Wanderers41%fair 2.46 · @2.15
2.93Expected goals
1.43Kerry xG
1.50Bray Wanderers xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%

From our goals model: Kerry 1.4 – 1.5 Bray Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBray Wanderers to win ✓41%2.462.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.591.55
Draw no betBray Wanderers (draw no bet) ✓52%1.93–
Asian handicapKerry +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreBray Wanderers to score first ✓48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bray Wanderers / FT Bray Wanderers ✓23%4.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.68–

Recent results

Kerry – last 6

WWDLLW
5 Sep@ Longford Town1–0W
28 Augvs Treaty United3–1W
21 Augvs UCD1–1D
15 Aug@ Sligo Rovers0–4L
7 Aug@ Cork City1–3L
3 Augvs Cobh Ramblers3–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Bray Wanderers – last 6

DLLDWL
4 Sepvs Cork City1–1D
28 Aug@ Athlone Town1–2L
22 Aug@ Longford Town2–4L
14 Aug@ Galway United1–1D
7 Augvs Finn Harps5–0W
3 Aug@ Wexford1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 Jul 2026Bray Wanderers v Kerry0–4
22 May 2026Kerry v Bray Wanderers2–2
27 Mar 2026Bray Wanderers v Kerry2–1
Kerry vs Bray Wanderers head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?

On our numbers Kerry have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bray Wanderers 41%.

How many goals will there be in Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?

Our predicted score is Kerry 1–1 Bray Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?

Kerry vs Bray Wanderers (First Division) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.