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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Wexford v Finn Harps: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Ferrycarrig Park

Wexford

WLLLW
1–3
FT
Wexford 66%Draw 19%Finn Harps 16% Expected goals 1.95 – 0.78
66%
Betarazi pick

Wexford to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultWexford to win ✗66% · @1.36
Double chanceWexford or draw ✗84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33

Wexford vs Finn Harps: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Friday 11 September: Wexford v Finn Harps in the First Division, played at Ferrycarrig Park. In the table, Wexford are 8th, in the drop zone, on 42 points after 36 matches; Finn Harps are 10th (in the drop zone) with 28. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Wexford, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Treaty United, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Finn Harps, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Athlone Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Wexford, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for Finn Harps.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Jul 2026) it ended Finn Harps 1–0 Wexford. The last 3 head-to-heads: Wexford 1 win, Finn Harps 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wexford 1.9 xG, Finn Harps 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wexford 66%, draw 19%, Finn Harps 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Wexford to win (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wexford 1–0 Finn Harps. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wexford66%fair 1.52 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @4.40
Finn Harps16%fair 6.43 · @6.50
2.73Expected goals
1.95Wexford xG
0.78Finn Harps xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Wexford 1.9 – 0.8 Finn Harps expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWexford to win ✗66%1.521.36
Double chanceWexford or draw ✗84%1.181.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.75
Draw no betWexford (draw no bet) ✗81%1.24–
Asian handicapWexford -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.95–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreWexford to score first67%1.50–
Half-time resultWexford ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Wexford / FT Wexford ✗41%2.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.33–

Recent results

Wexford – last 6

WLLLWL
4 Sep@ Treaty United1–0W
28 Aug@ Cork City0–2L
21 Augvs Athlone Town0–2L
7 Aug@ UCD1–4L
3 Augvs Bray Wanderers2–1W
31 Jul@ Cobh Ramblers0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Finn Harps – last 6

LLLLLL
4 Sepvs Athlone Town0–1L
28 Aug@ UCD4–5L
21 Augvs Cobh Ramblers1–3L
7 Aug@ Bray Wanderers0–5L
3 Aug@ Longford Town0–5L
31 Julvs Cork City0–3L
0.8Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Jul 2026Finn Harps v Wexford1–0
1 May 2026Wexford v Finn Harps2–0
6 Mar 2026Finn Harps v Wexford1–1
Wexford vs Finn Harps head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wexford vs Finn Harps?

Our pick is Wexford to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Wexford vs Finn Harps?

On our numbers Wexford have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Finn Harps 16%.

How many goals will there be in Wexford vs Finn Harps?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wexford vs Finn Harps?

Our predicted score is Wexford 1–0 Finn Harps, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Wexford vs Finn Harps?

Wexford vs Finn Harps (First Division) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ferrycarrig Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.