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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cork City v UCD: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Turners Cross
5–1
FT

UCD

DDWDL
Cork City 68%Draw 21%UCD 11% Expected goals 2.21 – 0.82
68%
Betarazi pick

Cork City to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultCork City to win ✓68% · @1.50
Double chanceCork City or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34

Cork City vs UCD: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cork City welcome UCD to Turners Cross for a First Division fixture on Friday 18 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Cork City are 1st, leading the league, on 75 points after 36 matches; UCD are 2nd (among the top four) with 56. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Cork City, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Cobh Ramblers, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

UCD, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Athlone Town, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Jul 2026) it ended UCD 5–2 Cork City. The last 3 head-to-heads: Cork City 2 wins, UCD 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cork City 2.2 xG, UCD 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cork City 68%, draw 21%, UCD 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Cork City to win (68%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cork City 2–0 UCD. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cork City68%fair 1.47 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.80
UCD11%fair 8.88 · @5.00
3.03Expected goals
2.21Cork City xG
0.82UCD xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%

From our goals model: Cork City 2.2 – 0.8 UCD expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCork City to win ✓68%1.471.50
Double chanceCork City or draw ✓89%1.131.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.55
Draw no betCork City (draw no bet) ✓86%1.17–
Asian handicapCork City -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.71–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗81%1.23–
First team to scoreCork City to score first ✓69%1.44–
Half-time resultCork City ahead at half-time ✓50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cork City / FT Cork City ✓45%2.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.34–

Recent results

Cork City – last 6

LDWDWW
11 Sepvs Cobh Ramblers2–3L
4 Sep@ Bray Wanderers1–1D
28 Augvs Wexford2–0W
21 Aug@ Treaty United2–2D
7 Augvs Kerry3–1W
3 Augvs Athlone Town3–2W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

UCD – last 6

DDWDLW
11 Sepvs Athlone Town2–2D
4 Sep@ Cobh Ramblers1–1D
28 Augvs Finn Harps5–4W
21 Aug@ Kerry1–1D
14 Augvs Derry City1–2L
7 Augvs Wexford4–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Jul 2026UCD v Cork City5–2
8 May 2026Cork City v UCD3–1
20 Mar 2026UCD v Cork City0–1
Cork City vs UCD head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cork City vs UCD?

Our pick is Cork City to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Cork City vs UCD?

On our numbers Cork City have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and UCD 11%.

How many goals will there be in Cork City vs UCD?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cork City vs UCD?

Our predicted score is Cork City 2–0 UCD, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Cork City vs UCD?

Cork City vs UCD (First Division) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Turners Cross.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.