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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kerry v Wexford: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Mounthawk Park

Kerry

LLWWD
1–0
FT

Wexford

WLWLL
Kerry 40%Draw 22%Wexford 39% Expected goals 1.27 – 1.26
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultKerry to win ✓40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.31

Kerry vs Wexford: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Wexford travel to face Kerry on Friday 25 September in the First Division, with Mounthawk Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Kerry, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Athlone Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Wexford, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cobh Ramblers, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Jul 2026) it ended Wexford 2–2 Kerry. The last 2 head-to-heads: Kerry 0 wins, Wexford 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kerry 1.3 xG, Wexford 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kerry 40%, draw 22%, Wexford 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kerry 1–1 Wexford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kerry40%fair 2.52 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.30
Wexford39%fair 2.58 · @2.50
2.53Expected goals
1.27Kerry xG
1.26Wexford xG
60%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Kerry 1.3 – 1.3 Wexford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKerry to win ✓40%2.522.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.62
Draw no betKerry (draw no bet) ✓51%1.98–
Asian handicapWexford +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.87–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreKerry to score first ✓46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kerry / FT Kerry ✗21%4.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.31–

Recent results

Kerry – last 6

LLWWDL
18 Sep@ Athlone Town0–3L
11 Sepvs Bray Wanderers0–1L
5 Sep@ Longford Town1–0W
28 Augvs Treaty United3–1W
21 Augvs UCD1–1D
15 Aug@ Sligo Rovers0–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Wexford – last 6

WLWLLL
18 Sepvs Cobh Ramblers3–1W
11 Sepvs Finn Harps1–3L
4 Sep@ Treaty United1–0W
28 Aug@ Cork City0–2L
21 Augvs Athlone Town0–2L
7 Aug@ UCD1–4L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Jul 2026Wexford v Kerry2–2
13 Mar 2026Wexford v Kerry1–1
Kerry vs Wexford head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kerry vs Wexford?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Kerry vs Wexford?

On our numbers Kerry have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wexford 39%.

How many goals will there be in Kerry vs Wexford?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kerry vs Wexford?

Our predicted score is Kerry 1–1 Wexford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Kerry vs Wexford?

Kerry vs Wexford (First Division) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.