Treaty United 61%Draw 23%Finn Harps 16%Expected goals 1.84 – 0.83
84%
Betarazi pick
Treaty United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultTreaty United to win ✓61% · @1.65
Double chanceTreaty United or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.28
Treaty United vs Finn Harps: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Treaty United welcome Finn Harps to Markets Field for a First Division fixture on Friday 25 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Treaty United are 9th, in the drop zone, on 42 points after 36 matches; Finn Harps are 10th (in the drop zone) with 28. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Treaty United, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bray Wanderers, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Finn Harps, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Longford Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Jul 2026) it ended Finn Harps 0–1 Treaty United. The last 2 head-to-heads: Treaty United 1 win, Finn Harps 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Treaty United 1.8 xG, Finn Harps 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Treaty United 61%, draw 23%, Finn Harps 16%.
Lower-risk option: Treaty United or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Treaty United or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Treaty United 1–0 Finn Harps. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Treaty United61%fair 1.64 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.60
Finn Harps16%fair 6.33 · @4.40
2.67Expected goals
1.84Treaty United xG
0.83Finn Harps xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Treaty United 1.8 – 0.8 Finn Harps expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Treaty United vs Finn Harps?
Our pick is Treaty United or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Treaty United vs Finn Harps?
On our numbers Treaty United have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Finn Harps 16%.
How many goals will there be in Treaty United vs Finn Harps?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Treaty United vs Finn Harps?
Our predicted score is Treaty United 1–0 Finn Harps, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Treaty United vs Finn Harps?
Treaty United vs Finn Harps (First Division) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Markets Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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