Cork City vs Finn Harps: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 9 October the First Division brings Cork City against Finn Harps at Turners Cross. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Cork City are 1st, leading the league, on 75 points after 36 matches; Finn Harps are 10th (in the drop zone) with 28. There are 47 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cork City, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Athlone Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Finn Harps, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kerry, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cork City, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Finn Harps.
Head to head
When they last met (31 Jul 2026) it ended Finn Harps 0–3 Cork City. The last 3 head-to-heads: Cork City 2 wins, Finn Harps 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.3 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cork City 2.3 xG, Finn Harps 0.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cork City 73%, draw 18%, Finn Harps 9%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cork City 2–1 Finn Harps. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cork City73%fair 1.37 · @1.12
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @8.00
Finn Harps9%fair 11.54 · @13.00
3.00Expected goals
2.31Cork City xG
0.69Finn Harps xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cork City 2.3 – 0.7 Finn Harps expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cork City vs Finn Harps?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Cork City vs Finn Harps?
On our numbers Cork City have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Finn Harps 9%.
How many goals will there be in Cork City vs Finn Harps?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cork City vs Finn Harps?
Our predicted score is Cork City 2–1 Finn Harps, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cork City vs Finn Harps?
Cork City vs Finn Harps (First Division) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Turners Cross.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry2