UCD 59%Draw 19%Longford Town 22%Expected goals 1.91 – 1.05
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultUCD to win ✗59% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
UCD vs Longford Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
UCD welcome Longford Town to UCD Bowl for a First Division fixture on Friday 9 October (19:45 WAT). In the table, UCD are 2nd, among the top four, on 56 points after 36 matches; Longford Town are 5th (upper half) with 52.
Current form
UCD, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Treaty United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Longford Town, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Wexford, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Longford Town 2–1 UCD. The last 2 head-to-heads: UCD 1 win, Longford Town 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UCD 1.9 xG, Longford Town 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UCD 59%, draw 19%, Longford Town 22%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCD 1–1 Longford Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UCD59%fair 1.70 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.70
Longford Town22%fair 4.51 · @4.00
2.96Expected goals
1.91UCD xG
1.05Longford Town xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: UCD 1.9 – 1.1 Longford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win UCD vs Longford Town?
On our numbers UCD have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Longford Town 22%.
How many goals will there be in UCD vs Longford Town?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCD vs Longford Town?
Our predicted score is UCD 1–1 Longford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is UCD vs Longford Town?
UCD vs Longford Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at UCD Bowl.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry2