Value bet: Deportivo Riestra to win @ 3.70 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNewells Old Boys to win ✓43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.43
Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Newells Old Boys v Deportivo Riestra in the Liga Profesional Argentina, played at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa. In the table, Newells Old Boys are 22nd, lower half, on 38 points after 32 matches; Deportivo Riestra are 28th (in the drop zone) with 23. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Newells Old Boys, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Defensa Y Justicia, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Deportivo Riestra, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Estudiantes L.P., at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Feb 2026) it ended Deportivo Riestra 1–1 Newells Old Boys.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newells Old Boys 1.1 xG, Deportivo Riestra 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newells Old Boys 43%, draw 26%, Deportivo Riestra 31%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Riestra to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newells Old Boys 1–0 Deportivo Riestra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newells Old Boys43%fair 2.30 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.82
Deportivo Riestra31%fair 3.27 · @3.70
1.96Expected goals
1.10Newells Old Boys xG
0.86Deportivo Riestra xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Newells Old Boys 1.1 – 0.9 Deportivo Riestra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra?
On our numbers Newells Old Boys have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Riestra 31%.
How many goals will there be in Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra?
Our predicted score is Newells Old Boys 1–0 Deportivo Riestra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra?
Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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