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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

San Lorenzo v Union Santa Fe: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Pedro Bidegain
1–0
FT
San Lorenzo 39%Draw 25%Union Santa Fe 36% Expected goals 1.14 – 1.09
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSan Lorenzo to win ✓39% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.09

San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

San Lorenzo welcome Union Santa Fe to Estadio Pedro Bidegain for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Saturday 15 August (18:30 WAT). In the table, San Lorenzo are 18th, lower half, on 41 points after 32 matches; Union Santa Fe are 16th (lower half) with 42. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

San Lorenzo, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Huracan, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Union Santa Fe, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Central Cordoba de Santiago, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Feb 2026) it ended Union Santa Fe 0–0 San Lorenzo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Lorenzo 1.1 xG, Union Santa Fe 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – San Lorenzo 39%, draw 25%, Union Santa Fe 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Lorenzo 1–1 Union Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Lorenzo39%fair 2.57 · @2.48
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.96
Union Santa Fe36%fair 2.75 · @3.05
2.24Expected goals
1.14San Lorenzo xG
1.09Union Santa Fe xG
55%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: San Lorenzo 1.1 – 1.1 Union Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Lorenzo to win ✓39%2.572.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.812.05 ▲
Draw no betSan Lorenzo (draw no bet) ✓52%1.93–
Asian handicapUnion Santa Fe +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗63%1.571.53
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.231.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.091.04
First team to scoreSan Lorenzo to score first ✓46%2.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Lorenzo / FT San Lorenzo ✗21%4.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.09–

Recent results

San Lorenzo – last 6

LLWLDL
9 Augvs Huracan0–2L
4 Aug@ Central Cordoba de Santiago0–1L
28 Julvs Gimnasia M.1–0W
26 Jul@ Lanus0–1L
17 Julvs Deportivo Riestra1–1D
27 Mayvs Deportivo Recoleta0–1L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Union Santa Fe – last 6

LWLDLL
11 Augvs Central Cordoba de Santiago1–2L
6 Augvs Lanus2–1W
1 Aug@ Gimnasia M.0–2L
25 Jul@ Platense2–2D
23 Mayvs Independiente0–2L
12 May@ Belgrano Cordoba0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Feb 2026Union Santa Fe v San Lorenzo0–0
San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe?

On our numbers San Lorenzo have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Union Santa Fe 36%.

How many goals will there be in San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe?

Our predicted score is San Lorenzo 1–1 Union Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe?

San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Pedro Bidegain.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.