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Newells Old Boys v Banfield: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
2–1
FT
Newells Old Boys 41%Draw 24%Banfield 35% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.11
55%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.95Odds
2

Value bet: Banfield to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultNewells Old Boys to win ✓41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.41

Newells Old Boys vs Banfield: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 23 August the Liga Profesional Argentina brings Newells Old Boys against Banfield at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Newells Old Boys are 22nd, lower half, on 38 points after 32 matches; Banfield are 25th (lower half) with 33.

Current form

Newells Old Boys, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Deportivo Riestra, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Banfield, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Midland, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Banfield 3–0 Newells Old Boys.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Newells Old Boys 1.2 xG, Banfield 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Newells Old Boys 41%, draw 24%, Banfield 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Banfield to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.83, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newells Old Boys 1–1 Banfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Newells Old Boys41%fair 2.45 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Banfield35%fair 2.85 · @3.30
2.33Expected goals
1.22Newells Old Boys xG
1.11Banfield xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Newells Old Boys 1.2 – 1.1 Banfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNewells Old Boys to win ✓41%2.452.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.95 ▲
Draw no betNewells Old Boys (draw no bet) ✓54%1.86–
Asian handicapBanfield +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreNewells Old Boys to score first47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Newells Old Boys / FT Newells Old Boys ✗22%4.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%12.41–

Recent results

Newells Old Boys – last 6

WLDLWD
15 Augvs Deportivo Riestra2–0W
9 Aug@ Defensa Y Justicia1–2L
2 Augvs Boca Juniors2–2D
31 Jul@ Independiente0–1L
25 Julvs Talleres Cordoba1–0W
4 May@ Velez Sarsfield1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Banfield – last 6

DWLDWL
19 Augvs Midland2–2D
15 Aug@ Racing Club1–0W
10 Augvs Belgrano Cordoba0–2L
1 Aug@ Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0–0D
28 Julvs Sarmiento Junin3–2W
25 Jul@ Huracan0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Banfield v Newells Old Boys3–0
Newells Old Boys vs Banfield head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Newells Old Boys vs Banfield?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Newells Old Boys vs Banfield?

On our numbers Newells Old Boys have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Banfield 35%.

How many goals will there be in Newells Old Boys vs Banfield?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Newells Old Boys vs Banfield?

Our predicted score is Newells Old Boys 1–1 Banfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Newells Old Boys vs Banfield?

Newells Old Boys vs Banfield (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.