Value bet: Sarmiento Junin to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEstudiantes L.P. to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.37
Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estudiantes L.P. travel to face Sarmiento Junin on Sunday 23 August in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Eva Perón the venue – the ball rolls at 18:45 WAT. In the table, Sarmiento Junin are 19th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Estudiantes L.P. are 11th (upper half) with 47.
Current form
Sarmiento Junin, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Huracan, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Estudiantes L.P., last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over U. Catolica, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Sarmiento Junin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarmiento Junin 1.0 xG, Estudiantes L.P. 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarmiento Junin 34%, draw 25%, Estudiantes L.P. 41%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Sarmiento Junin to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.97, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarmiento Junin 1–1 Estudiantes L.P.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarmiento Junin34%fair 2.94 · @3.25
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.80
Estudiantes L.P.41%fair 2.45 · @2.30
2.09Expected goals
0.98Sarmiento Junin xG
1.11Estudiantes L.P. xG
51%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Junin 1.0 – 1.1 Estudiantes L.P. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P.?
On our numbers Sarmiento Junin have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Estudiantes L.P. 41%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P.?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Junin 1–1 Estudiantes L.P., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Eva Perón.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Huracan0
Banfield1
Barracas Central1
Belgrano Cordoba1
River Plate2