Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Boca Juniors to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBoca Juniors to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceBoca Juniors or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.77
Boca Juniors vs Lanus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Boca Juniors welcome Lanus to Alberto Jose Armando for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Saturday 29 August (01:30 WAT). In the table, Boca Juniors are 1st, leading the league, on 63 points after 32 matches; Lanus are 9th (upper half) with 50. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Boca Juniors, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Racing Club, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Lanus, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Argentinos JRS, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Boca Juniors, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Lanus.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Mar 2026) it ended Lanus 0–3 Boca Juniors.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Boca Juniors 1.5 xG, Lanus 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Boca Juniors 60%, draw 22%, Lanus 18%.
Lower-risk option: Boca Juniors or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Boca Juniors to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boca Juniors 2–0 Lanus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Boca Juniors60%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.25
Lanus18%fair 5.54 · @4.55
2.16Expected goals
1.50Boca Juniors xG
0.66Lanus xG
48%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Boca Juniors 1.5 – 0.7 Lanus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Boca Juniors vs Lanus?
On our numbers Boca Juniors have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lanus 18%.
How many goals will there be in Boca Juniors vs Lanus?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boca Juniors vs Lanus?
Our predicted score is Boca Juniors 2–0 Lanus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Boca Juniors vs Lanus?
Boca Juniors vs Lanus (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Alberto Jose Armando.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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