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Rosario Central v Gimnasia L.P.: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Gigante de Arroyito
1–2
FT
Rosario Central 56%Draw 22%Gimnasia L.P. 22% Expected goals 1.51 – 0.80
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRosario Central to win ✗56% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.04

Rosario Central vs Gimnasia L.P.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 29 August the Liga Profesional Argentina brings Rosario Central against Gimnasia L.P. at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Rosario Central are 2nd, among the top four, on 62 points after 32 matches; Gimnasia L.P. are 5th (upper half) with 57.

Current form

Rosario Central, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Talleres Cordoba, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Gimnasia L.P., last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Gimnasia M., at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Feb 2026) it ended Gimnasia L.P. 1–2 Rosario Central.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rosario Central 1.5 xG, Gimnasia L.P. 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rosario Central 56%, draw 22%, Gimnasia L.P. 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rosario Central 1–0 Gimnasia L.P.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rosario Central56%fair 1.78 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Gimnasia L.P.22%fair 4.56 · @4.55
2.31Expected goals
1.51Rosario Central xG
0.80Gimnasia L.P. xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Rosario Central 1.5 – 0.8 Gimnasia L.P. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRosario Central to win ✗56%1.781.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.902.10 ▲
Draw no betRosario Central (draw no bet) ✗72%1.39–
Asian handicapGimnasia L.P. +1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.511.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.671.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.05
First team to scoreRosario Central to score first59%1.70–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rosario Central / FT Rosario Central ✗33%3.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.04–

Recent results

Rosario Central – last 6

DLWDWW
25 Aug@ Talleres Cordoba2–2D
21 Aug@ Corinthians0–1L
17 Aug@ Barracas Central1–0W
14 Augvs Corinthians0–0D
7 Augvs Aldosivi2–1W
2 Aug@ River Plate1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Gimnasia L.P. – last 6

LDLWWW
22 Augvs Gimnasia M.2–3L
18 Aug@ Deportivo Riestra1–1D
15 Aug@ Estudiantes L.P.0–4L
9 Augvs Barracas Central2–0W
2 Aug@ Aldosivi2–1W
29 Julvs River Plate1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Feb 2026Gimnasia L.P. v Rosario Central1–2
Rosario Central vs Gimnasia L.P. head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia161042+1434
2River Plate16925+1029
3Argentinos JRS16853+429
4Rosario Central16844+428
5Belgrano Cordoba16754+426
6Gimnasia L.P.16826026
7Huracan16574+422
8Racing Club16565+221
9Barracas Central16565021
10Tigre16484+320
11Sarmiento Junin16619-719
12Banfield16538-218
13Atletico Tucuman16358-514
14Aldosivi16088-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213-195

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rosario Central vs Gimnasia L.P.?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Rosario Central vs Gimnasia L.P.?

On our numbers Rosario Central have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gimnasia L.P. 22%.

How many goals will there be in Rosario Central vs Gimnasia L.P.?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rosario Central vs Gimnasia L.P.?

Our predicted score is Rosario Central 1–0 Gimnasia L.P., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Rosario Central vs Gimnasia L.P.?

Rosario Central vs Gimnasia L.P. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.