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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Instituto Cordoba v San Lorenzo: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Presidente Peron
1–0
FT
Instituto Cordoba 61%Draw 23%San Lorenzo 17% Expected goals 1.38 – 0.53
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.42Odds
1

Value bet: Instituto Cordoba to win @ 1.89 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultInstituto Cordoba to win ✓61% · @1.89
Double chanceInstituto Cordoba or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.87

Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:15 WAT, Tuesday 1 September: Instituto Cordoba v San Lorenzo in the Liga Profesional Argentina, played at Estadio Presidente Peron. In the table, Instituto Cordoba are 8th, upper half, on 55 points after 32 matches; San Lorenzo are 18th (lower half) with 41. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Instituto Cordoba, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Platense, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

San Lorenzo, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Instituto Cordoba, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for San Lorenzo.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Feb 2026) it ended San Lorenzo 1–1 Instituto Cordoba.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Instituto Cordoba 1.4 xG, San Lorenzo 0.5 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Instituto Cordoba 61%, draw 23%, San Lorenzo 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Instituto Cordoba or draw (83%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Instituto Cordoba to win @1.89 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Instituto Cordoba 1–0 San Lorenzo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Instituto Cordoba61%fair 1.65 · @1.89
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.05
San Lorenzo17%fair 6.01 · @4.70
1.91Expected goals
1.38Instituto Cordoba xG
0.53San Lorenzo xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–021%
0–015%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%

From our goals model: Instituto Cordoba 1.4 – 0.5 San Lorenzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultInstituto Cordoba to win ✓61%1.651.89 ▲
Double chanceInstituto Cordoba or draw ✓83%1.201.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.891.50
Draw no betInstituto Cordoba (draw no bet) ✓78%1.27–
Asian handicapSan Lorenzo +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗57%1.741.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.461.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.171.12
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.071.03
First team to scoreInstituto Cordoba to score first ✓62%1.62–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Instituto Cordoba / FT Instituto Cordoba ✗35%2.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21%4.87–

Recent results

Instituto Cordoba – last 6

DDWWWW
28 Aug@ Platense1–1D
22 Aug@ Atletico Tucuman0–0D
17 Aug@ Central Cordoba de Santiago1–0W
9 Augvs Gimnasia M.1–0W
3 Aug@ Lanus1–0W
30 Julvs Platense2–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

San Lorenzo – last 6

DWLLWL
22 Aug@ Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0–0D
15 Augvs Union Santa Fe1–0W
9 Augvs Huracan0–2L
4 Aug@ Central Cordoba de Santiago0–1L
28 Julvs Gimnasia M.1–0W
26 Jul@ Lanus0–1L
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Feb 2026San Lorenzo v Instituto Cordoba1–1
Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo?

On our numbers Instituto Cordoba have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Lorenzo 17%.

How many goals will there be in Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo?

Our predicted score is Instituto Cordoba 1–0 San Lorenzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo?

Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Presidente Peron.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.