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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tigre v Barracas Central: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna

Tigre

WLDLW
0–0
FT

Barracas Central

LLLLW
Tigre 57%Draw 26%Barracas Central 17% Expected goals 1.35 – 0.56
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.38Odds
1

Value bet: Tigre to win @ 1.85 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultTigre to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceTigre or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.01

Tigre vs Barracas Central: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Barracas Central travel to face Tigre on Tuesday 1 September in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna the venue – the ball rolls at 01:15 WAT. In the table, Tigre are 20th, lower half, on 39 points after 32 matches; Barracas Central are 12th (upper half) with 47.

Current form

Tigre, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Central Cordoba de Santiago, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Barracas Central, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Estudiantes L.P., away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Feb 2026) it ended Barracas Central 2–1 Tigre.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tigre 1.3 xG, Barracas Central 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tigre 57%, draw 26%, Barracas Central 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Tigre or draw (83%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.48.
  • Price worth noting: Tigre to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tigre 1–0 Barracas Central. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tigre57%fair 1.75 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.00
Barracas Central17%fair 6.01 · @5.00
1.91Expected goals
1.35Tigre xG
0.56Barracas Central xG
45%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
0–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%

From our goals model: Tigre 1.3 – 0.6 Barracas Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTigre to win ✗57%1.751.85 ▲
Double chanceTigre or draw ✓83%1.201.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.801.48
Draw no betTigre (draw no bet)78%1.29–
Asian handicapBarracas Central +1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗57%1.751.65
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69%1.451.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.161.11
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.071.03
First team to scoreTigre to score first ✗60%1.66–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tigre / FT Tigre ✗33%3.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%5.01–

Recent results

Tigre – last 6

WLDLWD
24 Augvs Central Cordoba de Santiago2–1W
20 Aug@ Atletico Torque1–2L
15 Aug@ Aldosivi0–0D
12 Augvs Atletico Torque0–1L
8 Augvs River Plate1–0W
6 Augvs Belgrano Cordoba0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Barracas Central – last 6

LLLLWW
27 Aug@ Estudiantes L.P.1–3L
23 Augvs Platense1–2L
17 Augvs Rosario Central0–1L
9 Aug@ Gimnasia L.P.0–2L
2 Aug@ Deportivo Riestra1–0W
29 Julvs Aldosivi1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Feb 2026Barracas Central v Tigre2–1
Tigre vs Barracas Central head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia161042+1434
2River Plate16925+1029
3Argentinos JRS16853+429
4Rosario Central16844+428
5Belgrano Cordoba16754+426
6Gimnasia L.P.16826026
7Huracan16574+422
8Racing Club16565+221
9Barracas Central16565021
10Tigre16484+320
11Sarmiento Junin16619-719
12Banfield16538-218
13Atletico Tucuman16358-514
14Aldosivi16088-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213-195

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

League hub
FT Instituto Cordoba1 San Lorenzo0 161%1.89X23%3.05217%4.70 1.4–0.5xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 68%@1.42 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tigre vs Barracas Central?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Tigre vs Barracas Central?

On our numbers Tigre have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Barracas Central 17%.

How many goals will there be in Tigre vs Barracas Central?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tigre vs Barracas Central?

Our predicted score is Tigre 1–0 Barracas Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Tigre vs Barracas Central?

Tigre vs Barracas Central (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.