Value bet: Gimnasia M. to win @ 3.60 – our chance 32% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDefensa Y Justicia to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.79
Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gimnasia M. travel to face Defensa Y Justicia on Friday 11 September in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello the venue – the ball rolls at 23:15 WAT. In the table, Defensa Y Justicia are 14th, upper half, on 47 points after 32 matches; Gimnasia M. are 17th (lower half) with 41.
Current form
Defensa Y Justicia, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lanus, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Gimnasia M., last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Boca Juniors, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (4 May 2026) it ended Gimnasia M. 2–1 Defensa Y Justicia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Defensa Y Justicia 1.3 xG, Gimnasia M. 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Defensa Y Justicia 44%, draw 24%, Gimnasia M. 32%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Gimnasia M. to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.78, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Gimnasia M.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Defensa Y Justicia44%fair 2.29 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Gimnasia M.32%fair 3.10 · @3.60
2.38Expected goals
1.31Defensa Y Justicia xG
1.07Gimnasia M. xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Defensa Y Justicia 1.3 – 1.1 Gimnasia M. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M.?
On our numbers Defensa Y Justicia have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gimnasia M. 32%.
How many goals will there be in Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M.?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M.?
Our predicted score is Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Gimnasia M., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M.?
Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
