Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Newells Old Boys welcome Velez Sarsfield to Estadio Marcelo Bielsa for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Friday 11 September (21:00 WAT). In the table, Newells Old Boys are 22nd, lower half, on 38 points after 32 matches; Velez Sarsfield are 6th (upper half) with 56. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Newells Old Boys, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rosario Central, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Velez Sarsfield, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Estudiantes L.P., at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (4 May 2026) it ended Velez Sarsfield 1–1 Newells Old Boys.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newells Old Boys 1.1 xG, Velez Sarsfield 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newells Old Boys 36%, draw 25%, Velez Sarsfield 39%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.88, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newells Old Boys 1–1 Velez Sarsfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newells Old Boys36%fair 2.77 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.80
Velez Sarsfield39%fair 2.58 · @2.62
2.16Expected goals
1.05Newells Old Boys xG
1.11Velez Sarsfield xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Newells Old Boys 1.1 – 1.1 Velez Sarsfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield?
On our numbers Newells Old Boys have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Velez Sarsfield 39%.
How many goals will there be in Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield?
Our predicted score is Newells Old Boys 1–1 Velez Sarsfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield?
Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
