Value bet: Tigre to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTigre to win ✗38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.57
Tigre vs Rosario Central: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Liga Profesional Argentina brings Tigre against Rosario Central. Kick-off: 18:45 WAT. In the table, Tigre are 20th, lower half, on 39 points after 32 matches; Rosario Central are 2nd (among the top four) with 62. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tigre, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gimnasia L.P., away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Rosario Central, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Newells Old Boys, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tigre 1.1 xG, Rosario Central 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tigre 38%, draw 26%, Rosario Central 36%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Tigre to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tigre 1–0 Rosario Central. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tigre38%fair 2.65 · @2.90
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.70
Rosario Central36%fair 2.78 · @2.62
2.08Expected goals
1.06Tigre xG
1.02Rosario Central xG
49%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Tigre 1.1 – 1.0 Rosario Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigre to win✗
38%
2.65
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.67
Draw no bet
Tigre (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Rosario Central +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Tigre to score first✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.57
–
Recent results
Tigre – last 6
LDWLDL
5 Sep
@ Gimnasia L.P.
1–2
L
1 Sep
vs Barracas Central
0–0
D
24 Aug
vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
2–1
W
20 Aug
@ Atletico Torque
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Aldosivi
0–0
D
12 Aug
vs Atletico Torque
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rosario Central – last 6
DLDLWD
6 Sep
vs Newells Old Boys
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Gimnasia L.P.
1–2
L
25 Aug
@ Talleres Cordoba
2–2
D
21 Aug
@ Corinthians
0–1
L
17 Aug
@ Barracas Central
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Corinthians
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigre and Rosario Central.
What is the prediction for Tigre vs Rosario Central?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Tigre vs Rosario Central?
On our numbers Tigre have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Rosario Central 36%.
How many goals will there be in Tigre vs Rosario Central?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigre vs Rosario Central?
Our predicted score is Tigre 1–0 Rosario Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Tigre vs Rosario Central?
Tigre vs Rosario Central (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Talleres Cordoba2
Union Santa Fe1
Independiente1
San Lorenzo1