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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aldosivi v Sarmiento Junin: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Jose Maria Minella

Aldosivi

LWLWL
1–3
FT

Sarmiento Junin

LDWLW
Aldosivi 36%Draw 25%Sarmiento Junin 39% Expected goals 1.10 – 1.16
52%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 2.05 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
2.05Odds
2

Value bet: Sarmiento Junin to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSarmiento Junin to win ✓39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.98

Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aldosivi welcome Sarmiento Junin to Estadio Jose Maria Minella for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Friday 9 October (18:30 WAT). In the table, Aldosivi are 29th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 32 matches; Sarmiento Junin are 19th (lower half) with 40. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Aldosivi, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Huracan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Sarmiento Junin, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Racing Club, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sarmiento Junin, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Aldosivi.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aldosivi 1.1 xG, Sarmiento Junin 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aldosivi 36%, draw 25%, Sarmiento Junin 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Sarmiento Junin to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.94, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aldosivi 1–1 Sarmiento Junin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aldosivi36%fair 2.75 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.90
Sarmiento Junin39%fair 2.56 · @2.90
2.26Expected goals
1.10Aldosivi xG
1.16Sarmiento Junin xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Aldosivi 1.1 – 1.2 Sarmiento Junin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSarmiento Junin to win ✓39%2.562.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.942.05 ▲
Draw no betSarmiento Junin (draw no bet) ✓52%1.93–
Asian handicapAldosivi +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreSarmiento Junin to score first46%2.18–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sarmiento Junin / FT Sarmiento Junin ✗21%4.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.98–

Recent results

Aldosivi – last 6

LWLWLL
4 Oct@ Huracan0–1L
21 Sepvs Atletico Tucuman1–0W
12 Sep@ Independ. Rivadavia3–4L
5 Sepvs Banfield3–1W
30 Aug@ Argentinos JRS1–2L
26 Augvs Independ. Rivadavia0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sarmiento Junin – last 6

LDWLWW
19 Sep@ Racing Club1–3L
13 Sepvs Belgrano Cordoba1–1D
4 Sep@ Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto2–0W
28 Aug@ Union Santa Fe1–4L
23 Augvs Estudiantes L.P.2–0W
16 Augvs Huracan2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Aldosivi and Sarmiento Junin.

Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia161042+1434
2River Plate16925+1029
3Argentinos JRS16853+429
4Rosario Central16844+428
5Belgrano Cordoba16754+426
6Gimnasia L.P.16826026
7Huracan16574+422
8Racing Club16565+221
9Barracas Central16565021
10Tigre16484+320
11Sarmiento Junin16619-719
12Banfield16538-218
13Atletico Tucuman16358-514
14Aldosivi16088-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213-195

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

League hub
FT Gimnasia L.P.1 Atletico Tucuman1 161%1.91X24%3.10216%4.00 1.6–0.7xG 1XGimnasia L.P. or draw 84%@1.22 ✓
FT Instituto Cordoba2 Boca Juniors2 134%3.00X26%2.80240%2.50 1.1–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.10 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.

Who will win Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin?

On our numbers Aldosivi have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sarmiento Junin 39%.

How many goals will there be in Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin?

Our predicted score is Aldosivi 1–1 Sarmiento Junin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin?

Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Maria Minella.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.