Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Gimnasia L.P. to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGimnasia L.P. to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceGimnasia L.P. or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.96
Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Tucuman travel to face Gimnasia L.P. on Friday 9 October in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Gimnasia L.P. are 5th, upper half, on 57 points after 32 matches; Atletico Tucuman are 26th (lower half) with 32. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gimnasia L.P., last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Independ. Rivadavia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Atletico Tucuman, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Barracas Central, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Gimnasia L.P., collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Atletico Tucuman.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended Atletico Tucuman 1–0 Gimnasia L.P..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia L.P. 1.6 xG, Atletico Tucuman 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia L.P. 61%, draw 24%, Atletico Tucuman 16%.
Lower-risk option: Gimnasia L.P. or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Gimnasia L.P. to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gimnasia L.P. or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia L.P. 1–0 Atletico Tucuman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnasia L.P.61%fair 1.65 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.10
Atletico Tucuman16%fair 6.34 · @4.00
2.25Expected goals
1.59Gimnasia L.P. xG
0.66Atletico Tucuman xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Gimnasia L.P. 1.6 – 0.7 Atletico Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our pick is Gimnasia L.P. or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman?
On our numbers Gimnasia L.P. have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico Tucuman 16%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia L.P. 1–0 Atletico Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman?
Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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