Value bet: Newells Old Boys to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGimnasia M. to win ✓42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.27
Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gimnasia M. welcome Newells Old Boys to Víctor Legrotaglie for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Monday 12 October (22:30 WAT). In the table, Gimnasia M. are 17th, lower half, on 41 points after 32 matches; Newells Old Boys are 22nd (lower half) with 38. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gimnasia M., last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Estudiantes L.P., away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Newells Old Boys, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Lanus, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia M. 1.2 xG, Newells Old Boys 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia M. 42%, draw 25%, Newells Old Boys 33%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Newells Old Boys to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.87, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia M. 1–1 Newells Old Boys. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnasia M.42%fair 2.36 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.90
Newells Old Boys33%fair 3.03 · @3.40
2.28Expected goals
1.23Gimnasia M. xG
1.05Newells Old Boys xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Gimnasia M. 1.2 – 1.0 Newells Old Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia M. to win✓
42%
2.36
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Gimnasia M. (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Newells Old Boys +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Gimnasia M. to score first✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnasia M. / FT Gimnasia M.✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.27
–
Recent results
Gimnasia M. – last 6
LDLDWW
5 Oct
@ Estudiantes L.P.
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
11 Sep
@ Defensa Y Justicia
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Boca Juniors
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Independiente
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Gimnasia L.P.
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Newells Old Boys – last 6
DWDDDW
3 Oct
vs Lanus
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Platense
1–0
W
11 Sep
vs Velez Sarsfield
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Rosario Central
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Estudiantes L.P.
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Banfield
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia M. and Newells Old Boys.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys?
On our numbers Gimnasia M. have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Newells Old Boys 33%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia M. 1–1 Newells Old Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys?
Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Víctor Legrotaglie.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
