Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lanus welcome Velez Sarsfield to Estadio Ciudad de Lanus for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Monday 12 October (20:00 WAT). In the table, Lanus are 9th, upper half, on 50 points after 32 matches; Velez Sarsfield are 6th (upper half) with 56.
Current form
Lanus, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Newells Old Boys, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Velez Sarsfield, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Platense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lanus 1.2 xG, Velez Sarsfield 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lanus 44%, draw 25%, Velez Sarsfield 31%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.90, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lanus 1–1 Velez Sarsfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lanus44%fair 2.27 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.88
Velez Sarsfield31%fair 3.22 · @3.50
2.07Expected goals
1.16Lanus xG
0.91Velez Sarsfield xG
53%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Lanus 1.2 – 0.9 Velez Sarsfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lanus to win✓
44%
2.27
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Lanus (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Velez Sarsfield +1 (Asian handicap)✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Lanus to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lanus / FT Lanus✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.93
–
Recent results
Lanus – last 6
DWWWLD
3 Oct
@ Newells Old Boys
0–0
D
22 Sep
vs Estudiantes L.P.
2–1
W
14 Sep
@ Deportivo Riestra
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Defensa Y Justicia
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Boca Juniors
0–1
L
25 Aug
vs Argentinos JRS
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Velez Sarsfield – last 6
DWDWDD
5 Oct
vs Platense
2–2
D
21 Sep
vs Tigre
3–2
W
11 Sep
@ Newells Old Boys
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Estudiantes L.P.
1–0
W
3 Sep
vs Boca Juniors
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Deportivo Riestra
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lanus and Velez Sarsfield.
What is the prediction for Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield?
On our numbers Lanus have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Velez Sarsfield 31%.
How many goals will there be in Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield?
Our predicted score is Lanus 1–1 Velez Sarsfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield?
Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Lanus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
