Central Cordoba de Santiago v Velez Sarsfield Prediction & Expected Goals (26 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultVelez Sarsfield to win ✓60% · @1.95

Double chanceVelez Sarsfield or draw ✓85% · @1.22

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.36

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Velez Sarsfield: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Velez Sarsfield travel to face Central Cordoba de Santiago on Monday 26 October in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Alfredo Terrera the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Central Cordoba de Santiago are 27th, lower half, on 27 points after 32 matches; Velez Sarsfield are 6th (upper half) with 56. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Central Cordoba de Santiago, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Newells Old Boys, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Velez Sarsfield, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gimnasia M., at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Velez Sarsfield, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Central Cordoba de Santiago.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Apr 2026) it ended Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Central Cordoba de Santiago.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Central Cordoba de Santiago 0.6 xG, Velez Sarsfield 1.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Central Cordoba de Santiago 15%, draw 24%, Velez Sarsfield 60%.
Lower-risk option: Velez Sarsfield or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Velez Sarsfield to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Velez Sarsfield or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–1 Velez Sarsfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Central Cordoba de Santiago15%fair 6.54 · @3.80

Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.20

Velez Sarsfield60%fair 1.66 · @1.95

2.08Expected goals

0.59Central Cordoba de Santiago xG

1.49Velez Sarsfield xG

46%Both score

34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–119%

0–214%

0–012%

1–111%

1–28%

1–07%

From our goals model: Central Cordoba de Santiago 0.6 – 1.5 Velez Sarsfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Velez Sarsfield to win ✓	60%	1.66	1.95 ▲
Double chance	Velez Sarsfield or draw ✓	85%	1.18	1.22
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	54%	1.87	1.85
Draw no bet	Velez Sarsfield (draw no bet) ✓	80%	1.25	–
Asian handicap	Central Cordoba de Santiago +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	69%	1.46	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	62%	1.63	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	66%	1.53	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	84%	1.19	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	94%	1.06	–
First team to score	Velez Sarsfield to score first ✓	63%	1.59	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	47%	2.12	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Velez Sarsfield / FT Velez Sarsfield ✓	36%	2.78	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	19%	5.36	–

Central Cordoba de Santiago – last 6

LDDDLL

19 Oct	@ Newells Old Boys	1–2	L
10 Oct	vs Estudiantes L.P.	2–2	D
5 Oct	@ Deportivo Riestra	1–1	D
18 Sep	vs Defensa Y Justicia	2–2	D
12 Sep	@ Boca Juniors	1–3	L
6 Sep	vs Independiente	0–1	L

1.2Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Velez Sarsfield – last 6

WLDWDW

18 Oct	vs Gimnasia M.	1–0	W
12 Oct	@ Lanus	0–2	L
5 Oct	vs Platense	2–2	D
21 Sep	vs Tigre	3–2	W
11 Sep	@ Newells Old Boys	1–1	D
6 Sep	vs Estudiantes L.P.	1–0	W

1.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	9	4	3	+12	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	+13	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	+6	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	+4	26
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	+4	24
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	+3	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	0	22
8	Union Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	+4	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	6	3	7	0	21
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	4	7	5	-3	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	-8	19
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	-5	16
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	-10	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	-12	15
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	-7	11

Team

Pts

+12

+13

-3

-8

-5

Central Cordoba de Santiago

-10

Newells Old Boys

-12

Deportivo Riestra

-7

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Velez Sarsfield?

Our pick is Velez Sarsfield or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Velez Sarsfield?

On our numbers Central Cordoba de Santiago have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Velez Sarsfield 60%.

How many goals will there be in Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Velez Sarsfield?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Velez Sarsfield?

Our predicted score is Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–1 Velez Sarsfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Velez Sarsfield?

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Velez Sarsfield (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Terrera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Central Cordoba de Santiago v Velez Sarsfield: numbers & prediction