Value bet: Estudiantes L.P. to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEstudiantes L.P. to win ✗40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.32
Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 26 October the Liga Profesional Argentina brings Union Santa Fe against Estudiantes L.P. at Estadio 15 de Abril. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Union Santa Fe are 16th, lower half, on 42 points after 32 matches; Estudiantes L.P. are 11th (upper half) with 47.
Current form
Union Santa Fe, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Riestra, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Estudiantes L.P., last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Flamengo, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Santa Fe 1.2 xG, Estudiantes L.P. 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Santa Fe 36%, draw 23%, Estudiantes L.P. 40%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Estudiantes L.P. to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Santa Fe 1–1 Estudiantes L.P.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Santa Fe36%fair 2.74 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Estudiantes L.P.40%fair 2.47 · @2.90
2.41Expected goals
1.16Union Santa Fe xG
1.25Estudiantes L.P. xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Union Santa Fe 1.2 – 1.2 Estudiantes L.P. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes L.P. to win✗
40%
2.47
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Draw no bet
Estudiantes L.P. (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Union Santa Fe +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Estudiantes L.P. to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estudiantes L.P. / FT Estudiantes L.P.✗
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.32
–
Recent results
Union Santa Fe – last 6
DLLLLW
20 Oct
@ Deportivo Riestra
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Defensa Y Justicia
0–2
L
3 Oct
@ Boca Juniors
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Independiente
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Talleres Cordoba
1–2
L
8 Sep
vs Instituto Cordoba
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Estudiantes L.P. – last 6
DLDDWL
23 Oct
@ Flamengo
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs San Lorenzo
1–2
L
16 Oct
vs Flamengo
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Central Cordoba de Santiago
2–2
D
5 Oct
vs Gimnasia M.
3–0
W
2 Oct
@ Platense
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Santa Fe and Estudiantes L.P..
What is the prediction for Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.?
On our numbers Union Santa Fe have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estudiantes L.P. 40%.
How many goals will there be in Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our predicted score is Union Santa Fe 1–1 Estudiantes L.P., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 15 de Abril.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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