Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultGimnasia L.P. to win ✓63% · @1.67
Double chanceGimnasia L.P. or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55
Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gimnasia L.P. welcome Sarmiento Junin to Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Friday 23 October (21:00 WAT). In the table, Gimnasia L.P. are 5th, upper half, on 57 points after 32 matches; Sarmiento Junin are 19th (lower half) with 40. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gimnasia L.P., last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Huracan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Sarmiento Junin, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Barracas Central, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Apr 2026) it ended Sarmiento Junin 1–2 Gimnasia L.P..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia L.P. 1.8 xG, Sarmiento Junin 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia L.P. 63%, draw 21%, Sarmiento Junin 16%.
Lower-risk option: Gimnasia L.P. or draw (84%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gimnasia L.P. to win (63%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia L.P. 1–0 Sarmiento Junin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnasia L.P.63%fair 1.60 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.40
Sarmiento Junin16%fair 6.07 · @5.00
2.53Expected goals
1.77Gimnasia L.P. xG
0.76Sarmiento Junin xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Gimnasia L.P. 1.8 – 0.8 Sarmiento Junin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our pick is Gimnasia L.P. to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
On our numbers Gimnasia L.P. have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sarmiento Junin 16%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia L.P. 1–0 Sarmiento Junin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gimnasia M.1
Platense2