Value bet: Platense to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGimnasia M. to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.48
Gimnasia M. vs Platense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Platense travel to face Gimnasia M. on Friday 23 October in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Victor Legrotaglie the venue – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Gimnasia M. are 17th, lower half, on 41 points after 32 matches; Platense are 24th (lower half) with 36.
Current form
Gimnasia M., last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Velez Sarsfield, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Platense, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lanus, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia M. 1.1 xG, Platense 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia M. 39%, draw 25%, Platense 36%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Platense to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia M. 1–0 Platense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnasia M.39%fair 2.57 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.90
Platense36%fair 2.75 · @3.25
2.07Expected goals
1.06Gimnasia M. xG
1.01Platense xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Gimnasia M. 1.1 – 1.0 Platense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia M. to win✗
39%
2.57
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.73
Draw no bet
Gimnasia M. (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Platense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Gimnasia M. to score first✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.48
–
Recent results
Gimnasia M. – last 6
LWLDLD
18 Oct
@ Velez Sarsfield
0–1
L
12 Oct
vs Newells Old Boys
1–0
W
5 Oct
@ Estudiantes L.P.
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
11 Sep
@ Defensa Y Justicia
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Boca Juniors
2–2
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Platense – last 6
LDDWLW
17 Oct
vs Lanus
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Argentinos JRS
1–1
D
5 Oct
@ Velez Sarsfield
2–2
D
2 Oct
vs Estudiantes L.P.
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Newells Old Boys
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Fluminense
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia M. and Platense.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia M. vs Platense?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Gimnasia M. vs Platense?
On our numbers Gimnasia M. have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Platense 36%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia M. vs Platense?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia M. vs Platense?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia M. 1–0 Platense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia M. vs Platense?
Gimnasia M. vs Platense (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Victor Legrotaglie.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gimnasia L.P.2
Sarmiento Junin0