Defensa Y Justicia v Independiente Prediction & Expected Goals (31 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDefensa Y Justicia to win ✗45% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.53

Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Independiente travel to face Defensa Y Justicia on Saturday 31 October in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello the venue – the ball rolls at 18:45 WAT. In the table, Defensa Y Justicia are 14th, upper half, on 47 points after 32 matches; Independiente are 13th (upper half) with 47. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Defensa Y Justicia, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Talleres Cordoba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Independiente, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Boca Juniors, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Defensa Y Justicia, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Independiente.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Apr 2026) it ended Independiente 3–1 Defensa Y Justicia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Defensa Y Justicia 1.3 xG, Independiente 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Defensa Y Justicia 45%, draw 24%, Independiente 30%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Independiente. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Defensa Y Justicia45%fair 2.21 · @2.25

Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00

Independiente30%fair 3.28 · @3.20

2.39Expected goals

1.35Defensa Y Justicia xG

1.04Independiente xG

51%Both score

43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

0–110%

0–09%

2–19%

2–08%

From our goals model: Defensa Y Justicia 1.3 – 1.0 Independiente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Defensa Y Justicia to win ✗	45%	2.21	2.25
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	76%	1.32	1.35
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	51%	1.95	1.85
Draw no bet	Defensa Y Justicia (draw no bet)	60%	1.67	–
Asian handicap	Independiente +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	73%	1.36	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	57%	1.75	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
First team to score	Defensa Y Justicia to score first	51%	1.95	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.22	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Defensa Y Justicia / FT Defensa Y Justicia ✗	25%	3.92	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.53	–

Defensa Y Justicia – last 6

WLWWDW

24 Oct	@ Talleres Cordoba	2–1	W
16 Oct	vs Instituto Cordoba	0–1	L
10 Oct	@ Union Santa Fe	2–0	W
3 Oct	vs San Lorenzo	3–0	W
18 Sep	@ Central Cordoba de Santiago	2–2	D
11 Sep	vs Gimnasia M.	2–0	W

1.8Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Independiente – last 6

LDDLWD

25 Oct	vs Boca Juniors	0–1	L
18 Oct	@ Racing Club	1–1	D
12 Oct	@ Talleres Cordoba	0–0	D
2 Oct	vs Instituto Cordoba	1–4	L
19 Sep	@ Union Santa Fe	2–1	W
13 Sep	vs San Lorenzo	1–1	D

0.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	9	4	3	+12	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	+13	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	+6	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	+4	26
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	+4	24
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	+3	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	0	22
8	Union Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	+4	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	6	3	7	0	21
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	4	7	5	-3	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	-8	19
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	-5	16
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	-10	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	-12	15
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	-7	11

Team

Pts

+12

+13

-3

-8

-5

Central Cordoba de Santiago

-10

Newells Old Boys

-12

Deportivo Riestra

-7

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente?

On our numbers Defensa Y Justicia have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independiente 30%.

How many goals will there be in Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente?

Our predicted score is Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Independiente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente?

Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Defensa Y Justicia v Independiente: numbers & prediction