Sarmiento Junin 14%Draw 24%Rosario Central 62%Expected goals 0.70 – 1.73
86%
Betarazi pick
Rosario Central or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Rosario Central to win @ 1.83 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRosario Central to win ✓62% · @1.83
Double chanceRosario Central or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.84
Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:15 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Sarmiento Junin v Rosario Central in the Liga Profesional Argentina, played at Estadio Eva Peron. In the table, Sarmiento Junin are 19th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Rosario Central are 2nd (among the top four) with 62. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sarmiento Junin, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Gimnasia L.P., away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Rosario Central, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Huracan, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rosario Central, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Sarmiento Junin.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Apr 2026) it ended Rosario Central 2–1 Sarmiento Junin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarmiento Junin 0.7 xG, Rosario Central 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarmiento Junin 14%, draw 24%, Rosario Central 62%.
Lower-risk option: Rosario Central or draw (86%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Rosario Central to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rosario Central or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarmiento Junin 0–1 Rosario Central. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarmiento Junin14%fair 7.06 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.40
Rosario Central62%fair 1.62 · @1.83
2.43Expected goals
0.70Sarmiento Junin xG
1.73Rosario Central xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Junin 0.7 – 1.7 Rosario Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central?
Our pick is Rosario Central or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central?
On our numbers Sarmiento Junin have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rosario Central 62%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Junin 0–1 Rosario Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central?
Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Eva Peron.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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