León W vs Mazatlán W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
León W welcome Mazatlán W for a Liga MX Femenil fixture on Tuesday 17 March (04:00 WAT).
Current form
Mazatlán W, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Monterrey W, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give León W 2.2 xG, Mazatlán W 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – León W 68%, draw 18%, Mazatlán W 14%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: León W 2–1 Mazatlán W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
León W68%fair 1.48 · @1.17
Draw18%fair 5.50 · @7.10
Mazatlán W14%fair 7.01 · @14.50
3.37Expected goals
2.20León W xG
1.17Mazatlán W xG
53%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: León W 2.2 – 1.2 Mazatlán W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
León W
Mazatlán W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
-1%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
-11%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.71
1.24
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
León W to win✗
68%
1.48
1.17
Double chance
León W or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Draw no bet
León W (draw no bet)✗
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
León W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.93
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.40
First team to score
León W to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
León W ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT León W / FT León W✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
León W – last 2
LL
14 Mar
@ América W
2–4
L
22 Feb
@ Tijuana W
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Mazatlán W – last 3
LWD
13 Mar
vs Monterrey W
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Puebla W
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Tigres UANL W
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between León W and Mazatlán W.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win León W vs Mazatlán W?
On our numbers León W have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Mazatlán W 14%.
How many goals will there be in León W vs Mazatlán W?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for León W vs Mazatlán W?
Our predicted score is León W 2–1 Mazatlán W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is León W vs Mazatlán W?
León W vs Mazatlán W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
