Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Lexington to win @ 1.60 – our chance 67% vs 63% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLexington to win ✓67% · @1.60
Double chanceLexington or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Lexington vs Brooklyn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 26 March the USL Championship brings Lexington against Brooklyn at Toyota Stadium. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Lexington are 4th, among the top four, on 48 points after 30 matches; Brooklyn are 12th (in the drop zone) with 21. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lexington, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 9–0 win over Flower City Union, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lexington 2.4 xG, Brooklyn 0.9 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lexington 67%, draw 18%, Brooklyn 15%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Lexington to win @1.60 – the bookmaker implies 63%, our ratings say 67%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lexington 2–0 Brooklyn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lexington67%fair 1.49 · @1.60
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @3.75
Brooklyn15%fair 6.68 · @4.75
3.28Expected goals
2.37Lexington xG
0.91Brooklyn xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
3–08%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Lexington 2.4 – 0.9 Brooklyn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lexington
Brooklyn
Attack vs USL Championship average
+45%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
-0%
+60%
Our expected goals here
3.48
1.13
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lexington to win✓
67%
1.49
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Lexington or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.75
Draw no bet
Lexington (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Lexington -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Lexington to score first✓
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Lexington ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lexington / FT Lexington✗
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Lexington – last 3
WDL
20 Mar
vs Flower City Union
9–0
W
15 Mar
vs Sacramento Republic
0–0
D
7 Mar
vs Louisville City
1–2
L
3.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Brooklyn – last 1
L
22 Mar
vs Hartford Athletic
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lexington and Brooklyn.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lexington vs Brooklyn?
On our numbers Lexington have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Brooklyn 15%.
How many goals will there be in Lexington vs Brooklyn?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lexington vs Brooklyn?
Our predicted score is Lexington 2–0 Brooklyn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lexington vs Brooklyn?
Lexington vs Brooklyn (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
