Value bet: Miami FC to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMiami FC to win ✓44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.64
Sporting JAX vs Miami FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Thursday 26 March: Sporting JAX v Miami FC in the USL Championship, played at Hodges Stadium. In the table, Sporting JAX are 13th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 30 matches; Miami FC are 8th (lower half) with 36. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting JAX 1.3 xG, Miami FC 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting JAX 33%, draw 23%, Miami FC 44%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Miami FC to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting JAX 1–1 Miami FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting JAX33%fair 3.02 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.45
Miami FC44%fair 2.26 · @2.45
3.01Expected goals
1.29Sporting JAX xG
1.72Miami FC xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Sporting JAX 1.3 – 1.7 Miami FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sporting JAX
Miami FC
Attack vs USL Championship average
-23%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
+74%
+20%
Our expected goals here
1.38
2.19
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Miami FC to win✓
44%
2.26
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.60
Draw no bet
Miami FC (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Sporting JAX +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.50
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Miami FC to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Miami FC / FT Miami FC✗
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
Sporting JAX – last 1
L
8 Mar
vs Hartford Athletic
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Miami FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting JAX and Miami FC.
What is the prediction for Sporting JAX vs Miami FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sporting JAX vs Miami FC?
On our numbers Sporting JAX have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Miami FC 44%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting JAX vs Miami FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting JAX vs Miami FC?
Our predicted score is Sporting JAX 1–1 Miami FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sporting JAX vs Miami FC?
Sporting JAX vs Miami FC (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Hodges Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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