Detroit City vs Miami FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 21 May the USL Championship brings Detroit City against Miami FC at Keyworth Stadium. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Detroit City are 3rd, among the top four, on 51 points after 30 matches; Miami FC are 8th (lower half) with 36. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Detroit City, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Forward Madison, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Miami FC, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Tampa Bay Rowdies, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Detroit City 1.6 xG, Miami FC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Detroit City 58%, draw 24%, Miami FC 18%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Detroit City 1–0 Miami FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Detroit City58%fair 1.73 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.95
Miami FC18%fair 5.41 · @5.50
2.41Expected goals
1.60Detroit City xG
0.81Miami FC xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Detroit City 1.6 – 0.8 Miami FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Detroit City
Miami FC
Attack vs USL Championship average
-20%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
-37%
+20%
Our expected goals here
1.43
0.79
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Detroit City to win✓
58%
1.73
1.50
Double chance
Detroit City or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.80
Draw no bet
Detroit City (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Miami FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Detroit City to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Detroit City / FT Detroit City✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.75
–
Recent results
Detroit City – last 6
WLWLLW
16 May
@ Forward Madison
1–0
W
10 May
@ Hartford Athletic
1–2
L
2 May
vs Louisville City
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1–2
L
15 Apr
vs Chicago Fire
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ Flint City Bucks
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Miami FC – last 6
LDWWWL
17 May
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
1–4
L
8 May
@ Birmingham Legion
0–0
D
3 May
vs Brooklyn
3–2
W
30 Apr
vs Naples
4–1
W
26 Apr
@ Sporting JAX
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Phoenix Rising
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Detroit City and Miami FC.
What is the prediction for Detroit City vs Miami FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Detroit City vs Miami FC?
On our numbers Detroit City have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Miami FC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Detroit City vs Miami FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Detroit City vs Miami FC?
Our predicted score is Detroit City 1–0 Miami FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Detroit City vs Miami FC?
Detroit City vs Miami FC (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Keyworth Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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