FC Tulsa 34%Draw 29%Sacramento Republic 37%Expected goals 1.04 – 1.12
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSacramento Republic to win ✗37% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.33
FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Thursday 6 August: FC Tulsa v Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship, played at ONEOK Field. In the table, FC Tulsa are 7th, lower half, on 43 points after 30 matches; Sacramento Republic are 2nd (among the top four) with 51.
Current form
FC Tulsa, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Pittsburgh Riverhounds, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Sacramento Republic, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Sporting JAX, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Sacramento Republic 2–0 FC Tulsa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Tulsa 1.0 xG, Sacramento Republic 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Tulsa 34%, draw 29%, Sacramento Republic 37%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Tulsa 1–1 Sacramento Republic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Tulsa34%fair 2.95 · @2.75
Draw29%fair 3.40 · @2.90
Sacramento Republic37%fair 2.73 · @2.55
2.15Expected goals
1.04FC Tulsa xG
1.12Sacramento Republic xG
55%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: FC Tulsa 1.0 – 1.1 Sacramento Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FC Tulsa
Sacramento Republic
Attack vs USL Championship average
-15%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
-27%
Our expected goals here
0.94
1.05
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?
On our numbers FC Tulsa have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Sacramento Republic 37%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?
Our predicted score is FC Tulsa 1–1 Sacramento Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?
FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at ONEOK Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
