El Paso Locomotive 59%Draw 22%Monterey Bay 19%Expected goals 1.95 – 1.00
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultEl Paso Locomotive to win ✓59% · @1.68
Double chanceEl Paso Locomotive or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 6 August the USL Championship brings El Paso Locomotive against Monterey Bay at Southwest University Park. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, El Paso Locomotive are 3rd, among the top four, on 50 points after 30 matches; Monterey Bay are 12th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
El Paso Locomotive, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Orange County SC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Monterey Bay, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Lexington, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Monterey Bay 1–0 El Paso Locomotive. The last 2 head-to-heads: El Paso Locomotive 1 win, Monterey Bay 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Paso Locomotive 2.0 xG, Monterey Bay 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Paso Locomotive 59%, draw 22%, Monterey Bay 19%.
Lower-risk option: El Paso Locomotive or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Paso Locomotive 1–0 Monterey Bay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Paso Locomotive59%fair 1.69 · @1.68
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.80
Monterey Bay19%fair 5.35 · @4.10
2.95Expected goals
1.95El Paso Locomotive xG
1.00Monterey Bay xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–010%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 2.0 – 1.0 Monterey Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
El Paso Locomotive
Monterey Bay
Attack vs USL Championship average
+11%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
+13%
Our expected goals here
1.88
0.96
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay?
On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Monterey Bay 19%.
How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay?
Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 1–0 Monterey Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay?
El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
