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El Paso Locomotive v Sacramento Republic: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Southwest University Park
El Paso Locomotive 39%Draw 22%Sacramento Republic 39% Expected goals 1.32 – 1.32
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultSacramento Republic to win ✓39% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.15

El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

El Paso Locomotive welcome Sacramento Republic to Southwest University Park for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 18 October (02:00 WAT). In the table, El Paso Locomotive are 3rd, among the top four, on 50 points after 30 matches; Sacramento Republic are 2nd (among the top four) with 51. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

El Paso Locomotive, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Orange County SC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Sacramento Republic, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Colorado Springs, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Sacramento Republic 1–2 El Paso Locomotive.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give El Paso Locomotive 1.3 xG, Sacramento Republic 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – El Paso Locomotive 39%, draw 22%, Sacramento Republic 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Paso Locomotive 1–1 Sacramento Republic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

El Paso Locomotive39%fair 2.59 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.20
Sacramento Republic39%fair 2.57 · @2.45
2.64Expected goals
1.32El Paso Locomotive xG
1.32Sacramento Republic xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 1.3 – 1.3 Sacramento Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSacramento Republic to win ✓39%2.572.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.711.70
Draw no betSacramento Republic (draw no bet) ✓50%1.99–
Asian handicapEl Paso Locomotive +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreSacramento Republic to score first ✓47%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic ✗21%4.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.15–

Recent results

El Paso Locomotive – last 6

WLDWWW
11 Octvs Orange County SC2–1W
4 Oct@ Lexington1–3L
26 Sepvs FC Tulsa1–1D
20 Sep@ Phoenix Rising3–1W
13 Sep@ Louisville City2–1W
30 Augvs Loudoun United4–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Sacramento Republic – last 6

DDWWDW
11 Octvs Colorado Springs1–1D
4 Oct@ FC Tulsa1–1D
1 Octvs Las Vegas Lights3–2W
27 Sep@ New Mexico United3–2W
21 Sepvs San Antonio0–0D
13 Sepvs Detroit City1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Sacramento Republic v El Paso Locomotive1–2
El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic?

On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sacramento Republic 39%.

How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic?

Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 1–1 Sacramento Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic?

El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.