Louisville City 60%Draw 19%Indy Eleven 21%Expected goals 1.87 – 0.98
60%
Betarazi pick
Louisville City to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultLouisville City to win ✓60% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Louisville City vs Indy Eleven: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the USL Championship brings Louisville City against Indy Eleven at Lynn Family Stadium. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Louisville City are 4th, among the top four, on 47 points after 30 matches; Indy Eleven are 9th (lower half) with 34. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Louisville City, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Charleston Battery, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Indy Eleven, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Tampa Bay Rowdies, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Louisville City, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Indy Eleven.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Aug 2026) it ended Indy Eleven 2–1 Louisville City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Louisville City 1.9 xG, Indy Eleven 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Louisville City 60%, draw 19%, Indy Eleven 21%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Louisville City to win (60%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Louisville City 1–0 Indy Eleven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Louisville City60%fair 1.67 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @3.80
Indy Eleven21%fair 4.74 · @4.00
2.85Expected goals
1.87Louisville City xG
0.98Indy Eleven xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Louisville City 1.9 – 1.0 Indy Eleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?
Our pick is Louisville City to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?
On our numbers Louisville City have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Indy Eleven 21%.
How many goals will there be in Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?
Our predicted score is Louisville City 1–0 Indy Eleven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?
Louisville City vs Indy Eleven (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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