Value bet: Forward Madison to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNaples to win ✗37% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.51
Naples vs Forward Madison: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Naples welcome Forward Madison to Paradise Coast Sports Complex for a USL League One fixture on Sunday 29 March (00:00 WAT). In the table, Naples are 8th, upper half, on 46 points after 32 matches; Forward Madison are 4th (among the top four) with 56.
Current form
Naples, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Richmond Kickers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naples 1.1 xG, Forward Madison 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naples 37%, draw 28%, Forward Madison 35%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Forward Madison to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naples 1–1 Forward Madison. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naples37%fair 2.71 · @2.25
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.95
Forward Madison35%fair 2.82 · @3.10
2.43Expected goals
1.14Naples xG
1.29Forward Madison xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Naples 1.1 – 1.3 Forward Madison expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naples to win✗
37%
2.71
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Naples (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Naples +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Forward Madison to score first✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Forward Madison / FT Forward Madison✓
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.51
–
Recent results
Naples – last 5
WWDWL
21 Mar
@ Richmond Kickers
1–0
W
19 Mar
vs Red Force
3–0
W
15 Mar
vs Corpus Christi
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs Fort Wayne
2–0
W
19 Feb
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–3
L
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Forward Madison – last 2
LW
19 Mar
@ Flint City Bucks
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ One Knoxville
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naples and Forward Madison.
What is the prediction for Naples vs Forward Madison?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Naples vs Forward Madison?
On our numbers Naples have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Forward Madison 35%.
How many goals will there be in Naples vs Forward Madison?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naples vs Forward Madison?
Our predicted score is Naples 1–1 Forward Madison, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Naples vs Forward Madison?
Naples vs Forward Madison (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Paradise Coast Sports Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
