Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 29 March the USL League One brings Sarasota Paradise against Portland Hearts of Pine at Premier Sports Campus. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Sarasota Paradise are 11th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Portland Hearts of Pine are 14th (lower half) with 34.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarasota Paradise 1.6 xG, Portland Hearts of Pine 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarasota Paradise 42%, draw 23%, Portland Hearts of Pine 35%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarasota Paradise 1–1 Portland Hearts of Pine. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarasota Paradise42%fair 2.38 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
Portland Hearts of Pine35%fair 2.85 · @2.55
2.93Expected goals
1.64Sarasota Paradise xG
1.30Portland Hearts of Pine xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sarasota Paradise 1.6 – 1.3 Portland Hearts of Pine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarasota Paradise to win✓
42%
2.38
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.67
Draw no bet
Sarasota Paradise (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Portland Hearts of Pine +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Sarasota Paradise to score first✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarasota Paradise / FT Sarasota Paradise✓
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.82
–
Recent results
Sarasota Paradise – last 2
DL
15 Mar
vs Fort Wayne
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs Boise
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Portland Hearts of Pine – last 2
DL
22 Mar
@ Alta
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Vermont Green
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarasota Paradise and Portland Hearts of Pine.
What is the prediction for Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
On our numbers Sarasota Paradise have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Portland Hearts of Pine 35%.
How many goals will there be in Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Our predicted score is Sarasota Paradise 1–1 Portland Hearts of Pine, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Premier Sports Campus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
