02:00 WAT, Thursday 14 May: Boise v Naples in the USL League One. In the table, Boise are 3rd, among the top four, on 58 points after 32 matches; Naples are 8th (upper half) with 46. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Boise, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Charlotte Independence, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Naples, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to One Knoxville, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Boise 1.7 xG, Naples 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Boise 57%, draw 24%, Naples 19%.
Lower-risk option: Boise or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boise 1–0 Naples. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Boise57%fair 1.77 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.40
Naples19%fair 5.21 · @3.70
2.54Expected goals
1.68Boise xG
0.86Naples xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Boise 1.7 – 0.9 Naples expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boise to win✓
57%
1.77
1.85
Double chance
Boise or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.75
Draw no bet
Boise (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Naples +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Boise to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boise / FT Boise✓
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
Boise – last 6
LWDWDD
7 May
@ Charlotte Independence
0–1
L
3 May
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Las Vegas Lights
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Westchester SC
4–0
W
12 Apr
@ Alta
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Spokane Velocity
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Naples – last 6
LLLWWW
3 May
vs One Knoxville
0–3
L
30 Apr
@ Miami FC
1–4
L
16 Apr
vs Orlando City SC
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Sarasota Paradise
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Greenville Triumph
1–0
W
1 Apr
vs America CFL Spurs
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boise and Naples.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Boise vs Naples?
On our numbers Boise have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Naples 19%.
How many goals will there be in Boise vs Naples?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boise vs Naples?
Our predicted score is Boise 1–0 Naples, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Boise vs Naples?
Boise vs Naples (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
