One Knoxville vs Union Omaha: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 14 May the USL League One brings One Knoxville against Union Omaha at Regal Stadium. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, One Knoxville are 6th, upper half, on 54 points after 32 matches; Union Omaha are 2nd (among the top four) with 62.
Current form
One Knoxville, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Naples, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Union Omaha, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Portland Hearts of Pine, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give One Knoxville 1.3 xG, Union Omaha 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – One Knoxville 38%, draw 26%, Union Omaha 36%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: One Knoxville 1–1 Union Omaha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
One Knoxville38%fair 2.66 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.20
Union Omaha36%fair 2.75 · @2.62
2.57Expected goals
1.30One Knoxville xG
1.27Union Omaha xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: One Knoxville 1.3 – 1.3 Union Omaha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
One Knoxville to win✗
38%
2.66
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.80
Draw no bet
One Knoxville (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Union Omaha +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
One Knoxville to score first
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT One Knoxville / FT One Knoxville✗
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.19
–
Recent results
One Knoxville – last 6
WLWDWW
3 May
@ Naples
3–0
W
30 Apr
@ Columbus Crew
1–4
L
19 Apr
vs Charlotte Independence
2–1
W
11 Apr
@ Portland Hearts of Pine
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Sarasota Paradise
2–1
W
28 Mar
vs Richmond Kickers
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Union Omaha – last 6
DWWLLW
10 May
vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2–2
D
3 May
vs Greenville Triumph
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Indy Eleven
2–1
W
18 Apr
@ Richmond Kickers
1–2
L
15 Apr
@ Colorado Rapids
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Alta
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between One Knoxville and Union Omaha.
What is the prediction for One Knoxville vs Union Omaha?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win One Knoxville vs Union Omaha?
On our numbers One Knoxville have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Union Omaha 36%.
How many goals will there be in One Knoxville vs Union Omaha?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for One Knoxville vs Union Omaha?
Our predicted score is One Knoxville 1–1 Union Omaha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is One Knoxville vs Union Omaha?
One Knoxville vs Union Omaha (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Regal Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
