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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sarasota Paradise v NY Cosmos: numbers & prediction

USL League One · USA · Premier Sports Campus
2–1
FT
Sarasota Paradise 58%Draw 23%NY Cosmos 19% Expected goals 2.11 – 1.16
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultSarasota Paradise to win ✓58% · @1.64
Double chanceSarasota Paradise or draw ✓81% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.18

Sarasota Paradise vs NY Cosmos: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Sunday 31 May: Sarasota Paradise v NY Cosmos in the USL League One, played at Premier Sports Campus. In the table, Sarasota Paradise are 11th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; NY Cosmos are 16th (in the drop zone) with 27. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sarasota Paradise, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Boise, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

NY Cosmos, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Union Omaha, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.6 conceded per game.

Momentum favours NY Cosmos, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Sarasota Paradise.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sarasota Paradise 2.1 xG, NY Cosmos 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sarasota Paradise 58%, draw 23%, NY Cosmos 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sarasota Paradise or draw (81%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarasota Paradise 2–1 NY Cosmos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sarasota Paradise58%fair 1.72 · @1.64
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.80
NY Cosmos19%fair 5.28 · @4.50
3.26Expected goals
2.11Sarasota Paradise xG
1.16NY Cosmos xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Sarasota Paradise 2.1 – 1.2 NY Cosmos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSarasota Paradise to win ✓58%1.721.64
Double chanceSarasota Paradise or draw ✓81%1.231.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.57
Draw no betSarasota Paradise (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapNY Cosmos +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.651.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.641.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scoreSarasota Paradise to score first62%1.61–
Half-time resultSarasota Paradise ahead at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sarasota Paradise / FT Sarasota Paradise ✗38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.18–

Recent results

Sarasota Paradise – last 6

WLLLLL
28 May@ Boise2–0W
25 May@ Spokane Velocity0–1L
17 Mayvs Alta1–2L
14 Mayvs Sporting JAX0–2L
3 Mayvs Forward Madison1–3L
26 Apr@ Tampa Bay Rowdies0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

NY Cosmos – last 5

LLWWL
28 Mayvs Union Omaha1–2L
24 May@ Alta0–4L
16 May@ Westchester SC3–2W
4 Aprvs Charlotte Independence3–2W
26 Mar@ Greenville Triumph2–3L
1.8Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sarasota Paradise and NY Cosmos.

Sarasota Paradise vs NY Cosmos head-to-head page →

USL League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence322066+2866
2Union Omaha321958+2062
3Boise321778+1058
4Forward Madison321688+2456
5Spokane Velocity3216610+654
6One Knoxville321598+1654
7Chattanooga Red Wolves3214513+647
8Naples3214414-746
9Fort Wayne3212911+545
10Westchester SC3211714+440
11Sarasota Paradise3211714-240
12Corpus Christi3291013-1537
13Alta3281014-834
14Portland Hearts of Pine3281014-1034
15Greenville Triumph328618-2330
16NY Cosmos327619-2627
17Richmond Kickers327520-2826

More USL League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sarasota Paradise vs NY Cosmos?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Sarasota Paradise vs NY Cosmos?

On our numbers Sarasota Paradise have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and NY Cosmos 19%.

How many goals will there be in Sarasota Paradise vs NY Cosmos?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sarasota Paradise vs NY Cosmos?

Our predicted score is Sarasota Paradise 2–1 NY Cosmos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Sarasota Paradise vs NY Cosmos?

Sarasota Paradise vs NY Cosmos (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Premier Sports Campus.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.