Union Omaha vs Naples: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union Omaha welcome Naples to Werner Park for a USL League One fixture on Sunday 31 May (01:00 WAT). In the table, Union Omaha are 2nd, among the top four, on 62 points after 32 matches; Naples are 8th (upper half) with 46. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union Omaha, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over NY Cosmos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Naples, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Westchester SC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Union Omaha, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Naples.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Omaha 1.7 xG, Naples 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Omaha 58%, draw 23%, Naples 19%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Omaha 1–1 Naples. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Omaha58%fair 1.74 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.65
Naples19%fair 5.17 · @4.75
2.64Expected goals
1.75Union Omaha xG
0.90Naples xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Union Omaha 1.7 – 0.9 Naples expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Omaha to win✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Double chance
Union Omaha or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.80
Draw no bet
Union Omaha (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Naples +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Union Omaha to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Omaha / FT Union Omaha✗
36%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Union Omaha – last 6
WWLWDW
28 May
@ NY Cosmos
2–1
W
24 May
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–0
W
17 May
vs Louisville City
1–5
L
14 May
@ One Knoxville
2–1
W
10 May
vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2–2
D
3 May
vs Greenville Triumph
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Naples – last 6
WLLLLW
24 May
vs Westchester SC
1–0
W
14 May
@ Boise
0–2
L
3 May
vs One Knoxville
0–3
L
30 Apr
@ Miami FC
1–4
L
16 Apr
vs Orlando City SC
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Sarasota Paradise
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Omaha and Naples.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Union Omaha vs Naples?
On our numbers Union Omaha have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Naples 19%.
How many goals will there be in Union Omaha vs Naples?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Omaha vs Naples?
Our predicted score is Union Omaha 1–1 Naples, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Union Omaha vs Naples?
Union Omaha vs Naples (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Werner Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
