Value bet: Forward Madison to win @ 4.20 – our chance 32% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +36%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGreenville Triumph to win ✓43% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.81
Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 4 June the USL League One brings Greenville Triumph against Forward Madison at Paladin Stadium. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Greenville Triumph are 15th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 32 matches; Forward Madison are 4th (among the top four) with 56. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Greenville Triumph, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to One Knoxville, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Forward Madison, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Corpus Christi, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Forward Madison, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Greenville Triumph.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Greenville Triumph 1.3 xG, Forward Madison 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Greenville Triumph 43%, draw 24%, Forward Madison 32%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Forward Madison to win @4.20 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Greenville Triumph 1–1 Forward Madison. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Greenville Triumph43%fair 2.30 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.60
Forward Madison32%fair 3.09 · @4.20
2.75Expected goals
1.30Greenville Triumph xG
1.46Forward Madison xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Greenville Triumph 1.3 – 1.5 Forward Madison expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Greenville Triumph to win✓
43%
2.30
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.70
Draw no bet
Greenville Triumph (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Greenville Triumph +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Forward Madison to score first✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Forward Madison / FT Forward Madison✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.81
–
Recent results
Greenville Triumph – last 6
LDLLLL
29 May
@ One Knoxville
0–2
L
23 May
@ Portland Hearts of Pine
1–1
D
10 May
vs Richmond Kickers
0–3
L
3 May
@ Union Omaha
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Naples
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Forward Madison – last 6
WLLLWL
30 May
vs Corpus Christi
3–0
W
24 May
@ Charlotte Independence
1–3
L
16 May
vs Detroit City
0–1
L
10 May
@ Alta
0–2
L
3 May
@ Sarasota Paradise
3–1
W
26 Apr
@ Lexington
2–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Greenville Triumph and Forward Madison.
What is the prediction for Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison?
On our numbers Greenville Triumph have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Forward Madison 32%.
How many goals will there be in Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison?
Our predicted score is Greenville Triumph 1–1 Forward Madison, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison?
Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 4 June 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Paladin Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
