Charlotte Independence 62%Draw 20%Naples 18%Expected goals 2.15 – 1.08
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultCharlotte Independence to win ✓62% · @1.53
Double chanceCharlotte Independence or draw ✓82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Charlotte Independence vs Naples: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Sunday 14 June: Charlotte Independence v Naples in the USL League One, played at American Legion Memorial Stadium. In the table, Charlotte Independence are 1st, leading the league, on 66 points after 32 matches; Naples are 8th (upper half) with 46. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Charlotte Independence, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Union Omaha, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Naples, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sarasota Paradise, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Charlotte Independence, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.5 for Naples.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Jun 2026) it ended Naples 1–5 Charlotte Independence.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Charlotte Independence 2.1 xG, Naples 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Charlotte Independence 62%, draw 20%, Naples 18%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charlotte Independence 2–1 Naples. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Charlotte Independence62%fair 1.63 · @1.53
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @4.10
Naples18%fair 5.41 · @5.10
3.22Expected goals
2.15Charlotte Independence xG
1.08Naples xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Charlotte Independence 2.1 – 1.1 Naples expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte Independence to win✓
62%
1.63
1.53
Double chance
Charlotte Independence or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.65
Draw no bet
Charlotte Independence (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Charlotte Independence -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
Charlotte Independence to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Charlotte Independence ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence✗
What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence vs Naples?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Charlotte Independence vs Naples?
On our numbers Charlotte Independence have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Naples 18%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte Independence vs Naples?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte Independence vs Naples?
Our predicted score is Charlotte Independence 2–1 Naples, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Charlotte Independence vs Naples?
Charlotte Independence vs Naples (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
