Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Sunday 14 June: Sarasota Paradise v Union Omaha in the USL League One, played at Premier Sports Campus. In the table, Sarasota Paradise are 11th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Union Omaha are 2nd (among the top four) with 62. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sarasota Paradise, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Alta, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Union Omaha, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Charlotte Independence, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Union Omaha, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Sarasota Paradise.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarasota Paradise 1.4 xG, Union Omaha 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarasota Paradise 32%, draw 24%, Union Omaha 44%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarasota Paradise 1–1 Union Omaha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarasota Paradise32%fair 3.14 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.50
Union Omaha44%fair 2.26 · @2.05
2.93Expected goals
1.36Sarasota Paradise xG
1.57Union Omaha xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Sarasota Paradise 1.4 – 1.6 Union Omaha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Omaha to win✗
44%
2.26
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.57
Draw no bet
Union Omaha (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Sarasota Paradise +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Union Omaha to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Omaha / FT Union Omaha✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.16
–
Recent results
Sarasota Paradise – last 6
LWWWLL
11 Jun
@ Alta
1–3
L
7 Jun
@ Naples
2–0
W
31 May
vs NY Cosmos
2–1
W
28 May
@ Boise
2–0
W
25 May
@ Spokane Velocity
0–1
L
17 May
vs Alta
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Union Omaha – last 6
LWWWWL
11 Jun
@ Charlotte Independence
0–2
L
7 Jun
vs Fort Wayne
4–2
W
31 May
vs Naples
2–1
W
28 May
@ NY Cosmos
2–1
W
24 May
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–0
W
17 May
vs Louisville City
1–5
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarasota Paradise and Union Omaha.
What is the prediction for Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha?
On our numbers Sarasota Paradise have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Union Omaha 44%.
How many goals will there be in Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha?
Our predicted score is Sarasota Paradise 1–1 Union Omaha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha?
Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Premier Sports Campus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
