Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Saturday 4 July: Naples v Portland Hearts of Pine in the USL League One, played at Paradise Coast Sports Complex. In the table, Naples are 8th, upper half, on 46 points after 32 matches; Portland Hearts of Pine are 14th (lower half) with 34. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Naples, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Chattanooga Red Wolves, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Portland Hearts of Pine, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Richmond Kickers, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Portland Hearts of Pine, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Naples.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naples 1.7 xG, Portland Hearts of Pine 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naples 49%, draw 25%, Portland Hearts of Pine 27%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naples 1–1 Portland Hearts of Pine. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naples49%fair 2.06 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.40
Portland Hearts of Pine27%fair 3.74 · @3.35
2.90Expected goals
1.66Naples xG
1.24Portland Hearts of Pine xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Naples 1.7 – 1.2 Portland Hearts of Pine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naples to win✗
49%
2.06
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Draw no bet
Naples (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Portland Hearts of Pine +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Naples to score first✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naples / FT Naples✗
29%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
Naples – last 6
LLLLLW
21 Jun
@ Chattanooga Red Wolves
0–1
L
14 Jun
@ Charlotte Independence
3–4
L
7 Jun
vs Sarasota Paradise
0–2
L
4 Jun
vs Charlotte Independence
1–5
L
31 May
@ Union Omaha
1–2
L
24 May
vs Westchester SC
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Portland Hearts of Pine – last 6
WLLLLW
25 Jun
vs Richmond Kickers
5–1
W
20 Jun
@ Westchester SC
1–5
L
13 Jun
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1–2
L
7 Jun
@ Brooklyn
1–5
L
4 Jun
@ Corpus Christi
2–3
L
30 May
vs Spokane Velocity
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naples and Portland Hearts of Pine.
What is the prediction for Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
On our numbers Naples have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Portland Hearts of Pine 27%.
How many goals will there be in Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Our predicted score is Naples 1–1 Portland Hearts of Pine, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine (USL League One) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Paradise Coast Sports Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
